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Midterm Voter Turnout·closes in 14mo

Will the total vote count for all participants in Alabama Governor General Election be above 1490000?

YES means Above 1.49M

24h volume
0
2,192 lifetime
Open interest
692
Spread
68¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
13 recent trades
Chance of YES
72%

A YES contract costs 74¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
28%

costs 94¢

YES bid / ask
6¢ / 74¢
NO bid / ask
26¢ / 94¢
Recent buying34% YES · 66% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask3598¢
  • ask175¢
  • ask574¢
spread68¢mid 40¢
  • bid56¢
  • bid352¢
  • bid501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the total vote count for all participants in Alabama Governor General Election is above 1490000, then the market resolves to Yes.

The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify. If the election is postponed but held within one year of the originally scheduled date, the contract remains valid; if postponed beyond one year or canceled, all contracts resolve to No.

Settlement sources
opened
May 6 · 4:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
floor
1490000
ticker
KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-ALGOV-1490000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 13 trades, 34% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
8d ago71¢100bought yes
8d ago72¢100bought yes
8d ago70¢200bought no
27d ago74¢100bought no
28d ago74¢200bought no
1mo ago74¢200bought no
1mo ago69¢80bought no
1mo ago74¢200bought no
2mo ago62¢66bought yes
2mo ago90¢12bought yes
2mo ago60¢67bought yes
2mo ago60¢33bought yes
2mo ago62¢134bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.