Will the total vote count for all participants in California Governor General Election be above 12000000?
YES means Above 12M
- 24h volume
- 0
- 10.3k lifetime
- Open interest
- 4,472
- +131 over 90d
- Spread
- 9¢
- 300 × 200 at the touch
- 24h range
- 60¢ – 73¢
- 38 recent trades
A YES contract costs 70¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 39¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
Order book unavailable.
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the total vote count for all participants in California Governor General Election is above 12000000, then the market resolves to Yes.
The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify. If the election is postponed but held within one year of the originally scheduled date, the contract remains valid; if postponed beyond one year or canceled, all contracts resolve to No.
- opened
- May 6 · 4:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
- floor
- 12000000
- ticker
- KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-CAGOV-12000000
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in its event.
Recent trades
Over the last 38 trades, 47% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | 62¢ | 4.14 | bought no |
| 1d ago | 63¢ | 2.55 | bought no |
| 2d ago | 72¢ | 136 | bought yes |
| 4d ago | 71¢ | 4.14 | bought yes |
| 7d ago | 70¢ | 1.39 | bought yes |
| 8d ago | 67¢ | 24 | bought no |
| 8d ago | 67¢ | 200 | bought yes |
| 8d ago | 63¢ | 200 | bought no |
| 14d ago | 63¢ | 30 | bought no |
| 15d ago | 62¢ | 150 | bought no |
| 17d ago | 71¢ | 0.02 | bought yes |
| 17d ago | 72¢ | 5 | bought yes |
| 17d ago | 73¢ | 1.74 | bought yes |
| 19d ago | 65¢ | 10 | bought no |
| 19d ago | 64¢ | 10 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.