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Midterm Voter Turnout·closes in 14mo

Will the total vote count for all participants in Delaware Senate General Election be above 440000?

YES means Above 440K

24h volume
0
990 lifetime
Open interest
938
+288 over 30d
Spread
88¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
17 recent trades
Chance of YES
27%

A YES contract costs 96¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
73%

costs 92¢

YES bid / ask
8¢ / 96¢
NO bid / ask
4¢ / 92¢
Recent buying5% YES · 95% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volAug 23Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask14098¢
  • ask596¢
spread88¢mid 52¢
  • bid58¢
  • bid827¢
  • bid352¢
  • bid501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the total vote count for all participants in Delaware Senate General Election is above 440000, then the market resolves to Yes.

The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify. If the election is postponed but held within one year of the originally scheduled date, the contract remains valid; if postponed beyond one year or canceled, all contracts resolve to No.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 17 · 8:07 PM UTC
closes
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
floor
440000
ticker
KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-DESEN-440000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 17 trades, 5% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5d ago27¢34bought yes
6d ago25¢3bought yes
6d ago24¢15bought yes
12d ago17¢26bought no
13d ago19¢80bought no
14d ago22¢50bought no
14d ago22¢20bought no
14d ago23¢36bought no
14d ago25¢15bought no
14d ago24¢15bought no
14d ago25¢47bought no
29d ago25¢200bought no
1mo ago25¢80bought no
2mo ago38¢70bought no
2mo ago40¢100bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.