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Midterm Voter Turnout·closes in 14mo

Will the total vote count for all participants in Florida Governor General Election be above 8100000?

YES means Above 8.1M

24h volume
0
1,186 lifetime
Open interest
119
Spread
7¢
200 × 200 at the touch
24h range
–
15 recent trades
Chance of YES
49%

A YES contract costs 49¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
51%

costs 58¢

YES bid / ask
42¢ / 49¢
NO bid / ask
51¢ / 58¢
Recent buying58% YES · 42% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,74996¢
  • ask22391¢
  • ask64687¢
  • ask17281¢
  • ask31279¢
  • ask20078¢
  • ask773¢
  • ask20049¢
spread7¢mid 45¢
  • bid20042¢
  • bid13121¢
  • bid51920¢
  • bid2.8119¢
  • bid15717¢
  • bid1839¢
  • bid766¢
  • bid2005¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the total vote count for all participants in Florida Governor General Election is above 8100000, then the market resolves to Yes.

The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify. If the election is postponed but held within one year of the originally scheduled date, the contract remains valid; if postponed beyond one year or canceled, all contracts resolve to No.

Settlement sources
opened
May 6 · 4:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
floor
8100000
ticker
KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-FLGOV-8100000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 15 trades, 58% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
6d ago49¢1.97bought yes
10d ago74¢11bought yes
10d ago52¢220bought yes
10d ago44¢200bought yes
13d ago44¢6.56bought yes
13d ago38¢41bought no
17d ago38¢1bought no
18d ago41¢100bought no
20d ago41¢10bought no
29d ago43¢200bought yes
29d ago42¢20bought yes
29d ago37¢20bought no
30d ago40¢100bought no
30d ago41¢200bought no
2mo ago41¢2.81bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.