Midterm Voter Turnout·closes in 14mo

Will the total vote count for all participants in Louisiana Senate General Election be above 1630000?

YES means Above 1.63M

24h volume
0
672 lifetime
Open interest
61
+45 over 30d
Spread
83¢
0 × 200 at the touch
24h range
5 recent trades
Chance of YES
11%

A YES contract costs 83¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
89%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
/ 83¢
NO bid / ask
17¢ / 100¢
Recent buying13% YES · 87% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢volAug 23Sep 19

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask20083¢
spreadmid
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If the total vote count for all participants in Louisiana Senate General Election is above 1630000, then the market resolves to Yes.

    The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify. If the election is postponed but held within one year of the originally scheduled date, the contract remains valid; if postponed beyond one year or canceled, all contracts resolve to No.

    opened
    May 7 · 2:00 PM UTC
    closes
    Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
    floor
    1630000
    ticker
    KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-LASEN-1630000
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Recent trades

    Over the last 5 trades, 13% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    13d ago11¢25bought yes
    13d ago11¢20bought yes
    2mo ago5.13bought no
    2mo ago11¢100bought no
    2mo ago200bought no

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.