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Midterm Voter Turnout·closes in 14mo

Will the total vote count for all participants in Ohio Senate General Election be above 4300000?

YES means Above 4.30M

24h volume
0
806 lifetime
Open interest
806
+26 over 7d
Spread
8¢
15 × 200 at the touch
24h range
–
15 recent trades
Chance of YES
69%

A YES contract costs 75¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
31%

costs 33¢

YES bid / ask
67¢ / 75¢
NO bid / ask
25¢ / 33¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
50¢75¢volSep 16Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,14196¢
  • ask62495¢
  • ask12094¢
  • ask7091¢
  • ask4990¢
  • ask2889¢
  • ask20075¢
spread8¢mid 71¢
  • bid1567¢
  • bid20066¢
  • bid20042¢
  • bid20030¢
  • bid54429¢
  • bid8924¢
  • bid10022¢
  • bid16017¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the total vote count for all participants in Ohio Senate General Election is above 4300000, then the market resolves to Yes.

The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify. If the election is postponed but held within one year of the originally scheduled date, the contract remains valid; if postponed beyond one year or canceled, all contracts resolve to No.

Settlement sources
opened
May 7 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
floor
4300000
ticker
KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-OHSEN-4300000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 15 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago69¢26bought yes
10d ago65¢37bought yes
11d ago65¢50bought yes
11d ago65¢82bought yes
12d ago62¢20bought yes
12d ago62¢37bought yes
13d ago61¢25bought yes
13d ago61¢62bought yes
13d ago61¢26bought yes
13d ago60¢15bought yes
13d ago62¢20bought yes
17d ago58¢100bought yes
17d ago60¢26bought yes
18d ago55¢81bought yes
19d ago48¢200bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.