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Midterm Voter Turnout·closes in 14mo

Will the total vote count for all participants in Oklahoma Senate General Election be above 1100000?

YES means Above 1.10M

24h volume
0
344 lifetime
Open interest
300
+0 over 30d
Spread
9¢
200 × 200 at the touch
24h range
–
11 recent trades
Chance of YES
54%

A YES contract costs 64¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
46%

costs 45¢

YES bid / ask
55¢ / 64¢
NO bid / ask
36¢ / 45¢
Recent buying87% YES · 13% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask88896¢
  • ask20992¢
  • ask69191¢
  • ask27890¢
  • ask7087¢
  • ask12285¢
  • ask8584¢
  • ask20064¢
spread9¢mid 60¢
  • bid20055¢
  • bid45225¢
  • bid21724¢
  • bid20610¢
  • bid5655¢
  • bid501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the total vote count for all participants in Oklahoma Senate General Election is above 1100000, then the market resolves to Yes.

The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify. If the election is postponed but held within one year of the originally scheduled date, the contract remains valid; if postponed beyond one year or canceled, all contracts resolve to No.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 17 · 7:48 PM UTC
closes
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
floor
1100000
ticker
KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-OKSEN-1100000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 11 trades, 87% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
11d ago54¢1bought no
11d ago53¢6bought no
11d ago53¢6bought no
26d ago54¢6bought no
26d ago54¢6bought no
26d ago55¢6bought no
26d ago55¢6bought no
26d ago55¢6bought no
26d ago55¢1bought no
2mo ago56¢100bought yes
2mo ago57¢200bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.