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Midterm Voter Turnout·closes in 14mo

Will the total vote count for all participants in Oregon Senate General Election be above 2200000?

YES means Above 2.20M

24h volume
56
284 lifetime
Open interest
284
Spread
6¢
200 × 2 at the touch
24h range
–
9 recent trades
Chance of YES
10%−1

A YES contract costs 15¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
90%

costs 91¢

YES bid / ask
9¢ / 15¢
NO bid / ask
85¢ / 91¢
Recent buying0% YES · 100% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask46386¢
  • ask20085¢
  • ask33264¢
  • ask22363¢
  • ask7154¢
  • ask453¢
  • ask20016¢
  • ask215¢
spread6¢mid 12¢
  • bid2009¢
  • bid1382¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the total vote count for all participants in Oregon Senate General Election is above 2200000, then the market resolves to Yes.

The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify. If the election is postponed but held within one year of the originally scheduled date, the contract remains valid; if postponed beyond one year or canceled, all contracts resolve to No.

Settlement sources
opened
May 7 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
floor
2200000
ticker
KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-ORSEN-2200000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 9 trades, 0% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
7h ago10¢20bought no
23h ago11¢36bought no
1d ago11¢62bought no
1d ago13¢2bought no
1d ago12¢27bought no
3d ago12¢49bought no
4d ago10¢38bought no
4d ago11¢22bought no
5d ago12¢28bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.