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Midterm Voter Turnout·closes in 14mo

Will the total vote count for all participants in Wisconsin Governor General Election be above 3000000?

YES means Above 3M

24h volume
30
243 lifetime
Open interest
177
Spread
6¢
2 × 200 at the touch
24h range
20¢ – 20¢
9 recent trades
Chance of YES
20%+1

A YES contract costs 23¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
80%

costs 83¢

YES bid / ask
17¢ / 23¢
NO bid / ask
77¢ / 83¢
24h low 20¢24h high 20¢
Recent buying13% YES · 87% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the total vote count for all participants in Wisconsin Governor General Election is above 3000000, then the market resolves to Yes.

The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify. If the election is postponed but held within one year of the originally scheduled date, the contract remains valid; if postponed beyond one year or canceled, all contracts resolve to No.

Settlement sources
opened
May 6 · 4:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
floor
3000000
ticker
KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-WIGOV-3000000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 9 trades, 13% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
24h ago20¢30bought no
2d ago19¢28bought no
2d ago20¢35bought no
4d ago17¢29bought no
7d ago20¢29bought no
14d ago20¢41bought no
26d ago19¢1bought no
2mo ago24¢1bought yes
2mo ago26¢28bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.