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Midterm Voter Turnout·closes in 14mo

Will the total vote count for all participants in Wisconsin Governor General Election be above 3200000?

YES means Above 3.2M

24h volume
136
520 lifetime
Open interest
334
Spread
6¢
200 × 2 at the touch
24h range
–
10 recent trades
Chance of YES
8%−1

A YES contract costs 11¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
92%

costs 95¢

YES bid / ask
5¢ / 11¢
NO bid / ask
89¢ / 95¢
Recent buying6% YES · 94% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask6059¢
  • ask27356¢
  • ask6455¢
  • ask3754¢
  • ask553¢
  • ask115¢
  • ask20012¢
  • ask211¢
spread6¢mid 8¢
  • bid2005¢
  • bid352¢
  • bid501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the total vote count for all participants in Wisconsin Governor General Election is above 3200000, then the market resolves to Yes.

The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify. If the election is postponed but held within one year of the originally scheduled date, the contract remains valid; if postponed beyond one year or canceled, all contracts resolve to No.

Settlement sources
opened
May 6 · 4:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
floor
3200000
ticker
KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-WIGOV-3200000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 10 trades, 6% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
16h ago9¢2bought no
16h ago8¢133bought no
16h ago11¢0.15bought no
16h ago10¢1bought no
4d ago9¢47bought no
10d ago12¢39bought no
11d ago12¢39bought no
14d ago10¢41bought no
26d ago10¢1bought no
2mo ago15¢19bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.