Will Yang–Mills be solved next before 2045?
YES means Yang–Mills Existence and Mass Gap Problem
- 24h volume
- 0
- 0 lifetime
- Open interest
- 0
- +0 over 7d
- Spread
- 9¢
- 250 × 200 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
A YES contract costs 10¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 99¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask2,70695¢
- ask20094¢
- ask20010¢
- bid2501¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Yang–Mills Existence and Mass Gap Problem is the first Millennium Prize Problem solved after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
A Millennium Prize Problem is considered Solved at the earliest time that any of the following occurs: A complete proof, disproof, or counterexample addressing the problem as officially formulated is published in a peer-reviewed journal. The Clay Mathematics Institute or another recognized authoritative academic body officially recognizes in writing that the problem has been resolved by reference to a specific written work. At least two Source Agencies report that the problem has been proven, disproven, or otherwise resolved by reference to a specific publicly available written work. If multiple problems have the same Solution Time, each is treated as the next problem Solved and the market resolves to 1/N, where N is the number of tied problems. A qualifying solution ceases to count if, before Expiration, it is formally retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, rescinded, or found to contain an identified and unaddressed error.
- The Guardian
- National Academy of Sciences of the United States
- Financial Times
- Associated Press
- the Clay Mathematics Institute
- Science
- Nature
- arXiv preprint repository operated by Cornell University
- Royal Society
- the American Mathematical Society
- the International Mathematical Union
- The Washington Post
- the New York Times
- Max Planck Society
- American Association for the Advancement of Science
- British Broadcasting Corporation
- Quanta Magazine
- The Wall Street Journal
- French Academy of Sciences
- Bloomberg News
- Reuters
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
- Scientific American
- The Economist
- opened
- Sep 12 · 10:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 1, 2045 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 7, 2045 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXMILLENNIUMNEXT-45-YANG
Other outcomes in this event
Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 65¢).
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.