Will Hodge be solved next before 2045?

If Hodge Conjecture is the first Millennium Prize Problem solved after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.

A Millennium Prize Problem is considered Solved at the earliest time that any of the following occurs: A complete proof, disproof, or counterexample addressing the problem as officially formulated is published in a peer-reviewed journal. The Clay Mathematics Institute or another recognized authoritative academic body officially recognizes in writing that the problem has been resolved by reference to a specific written work. At least two Source Agencies report that the problem has been proven, disproven, or otherwise resolved by reference to a specific publicly available written work. If multiple problems have the same Solution Time, each is treated as the next problem Solved and the market resolves to 1/N, where N is the number of tied problems. A qualifying solution ceases to count if, before Expiration, it is formally retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, rescinded, or found to contain an identified and unaddressed error.

opened

Sep 12 · 10:00 PM UTC

closes

Jan 1, 2045 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early

settles by

Jan 7, 2045 · 3:00 PM UTC

ticker

KXMILLENNIUMNEXT-45-HODGE