galdor.xyz
Admin
Michigan Senate-Governor Combo·closes in 14mo

Will Michigan Governor winner be Democratic party and Michigan Senate winner be Democratic party?

YES means Democrats sweep

24h volume
0
13.2k lifetime
Open interest
7,194
+814 over 30d
Spread
2¢
156 × 336 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
64%

A YES contract costs 64¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
36%

costs 38¢

YES bid / ask
62¢ / 64¢
NO bid / ask
36¢ / 38¢
Recent buying34% YES · 66% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
55¢60¢65¢70¢volAug 22Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask14688¢
  • ask1587¢
  • ask15285¢
  • ask1.5175¢
  • ask15072¢
  • ask50066¢
  • ask3065¢
  • ask33664¢
spread2¢mid 63¢
  • bid15662¢
  • bid21061¢
  • bid5,02060¢
  • bid82859¢
  • bid53358¢
  • bid53357¢
  • bid79956¢
  • bid5555¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If ALL of the following occur: Michigan Governor winner: Democratic party, Michigan Senate winner: Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Michigan Governor winner (GOVPARTY), Michigan Senate winner (SENATEPARTY).

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 7 · 3:49 PM UTC
closes
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMISENGOVCOMBO-26NOV-DEMDEM
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 34% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago64¢0.45bought yes
3d ago64¢1.51bought yes
8d ago64¢305bought yes
9d ago64¢157bought yes
20d ago64¢40bought yes
20d ago64¢13bought yes
20d ago64¢116bought yes
21d ago64¢32bought yes
21d ago64¢120bought yes
21d ago64¢7.62bought yes
26d ago65¢38bought yes
26d ago61¢25bought no
27d ago61¢23bought no
30d ago65¢7.5bought yes
30d ago65¢23bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.