galdor.xyz
Admin
Michigan Senate-Governor Combo·closes in 14mo

Will Michigan Governor winner be Democratic party and Michigan Senate winner be Republican party?

YES means Democratic Governor, Republican Senator

24h volume
0
9,049 lifetime
Open interest
5,433
−23 over 30d
Spread
1¢
25 × 573 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
24%

A YES contract costs 24¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
76%

costs 77¢

YES bid / ask
23¢ / 24¢
NO bid / ask
76¢ / 77¢
Recent buying71% YES · 29% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
20¢25¢30¢35¢40¢volAug 24Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask3,00067¢
  • ask1,68163¢
  • ask562¢
  • ask30037¢
  • ask61034¢
  • ask50032¢
  • ask1,00031¢
  • ask57324¢
spread1¢mid 24¢
  • bid2523¢
  • bid1508¢
  • bid4876¢
  • bid1,0474¢
  • bid2141¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If ALL of the following occur: Michigan Governor winner: Democratic party, Michigan Senate winner: Republican party, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Michigan Governor winner (GOVPARTY), Michigan Senate winner (SENATEPARTY).

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 7 · 3:49 PM UTC
closes
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMISENGOVCOMBO-26NOV-DEMREP
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 98¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 71% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago24¢25bought yes
3d ago24¢254bought yes
3d ago24¢15bought no
3d ago25¢10bought no
6d ago29¢16bought yes
6d ago27¢106bought yes
18d ago28¢5bought yes
18d ago28¢1bought yes
19d ago28¢1bought yes
19d ago25¢25bought no
20d ago28¢15bought yes
20d ago24¢202bought no
20d ago27¢25bought no
21d ago30¢10bought no
21d ago30¢15bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.