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Michigan Senate-Governor Combo·closes in 14mo

Will Michigan Governor winner be Republican party and Michigan Senate winner be Democratic party?

YES means Republican Governor, Democratic Senator

24h volume
0
21.9k lifetime
Open interest
3,572
+53 over 30d
Spread
2¢
25 × 1,000 at the touch
24h range
–
25 recent trades
Chance of YES
2%

A YES contract costs 4¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
98%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
2¢ / 4¢
NO bid / ask
96¢ / 98¢
Recent buying51% YES · 49% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢10¢20¢30¢volAug 22Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,00036¢
  • ask2,00035¢
  • ask1,20334¢
  • ask233¢
  • ask2325¢
  • ask50019¢
  • ask1,5005¢
  • ask1,0004¢
spread2¢mid 3¢
  • bid252¢
  • bid2011¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If ALL of the following occur: Michigan Governor winner: Republican party, Michigan Senate winner: Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Michigan Governor winner (GOVPARTY), Michigan Senate winner (SENATEPARTY).

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 7 · 3:49 PM UTC
closes
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMISENGOVCOMBO-26NOV-REPDEM
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 98¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 25 trades, 51% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
8d ago2¢75bought yes
13d ago2¢53bought yes
1mo ago26¢0.03bought yes
1mo ago3¢500bought yes
1mo ago1¢868bought yes
1mo ago2¢772bought yes
1mo ago27¢6.61bought yes
1mo ago18¢1bought yes
1mo ago2¢287bought yes
1mo ago1¢287bought no
1mo ago1¢500bought no
1mo ago2¢42bought yes
1mo ago2¢5bought yes
1mo ago1¢464bought no
1mo ago1¢250bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.