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Michigan Senate-Governor Combo·closes in 14mo

Will Michigan Governor winner be Republican party and Michigan Senate winner be Republican party?

YES means Republicans sweep

24h volume
0
13.7k lifetime
Open interest
5,668
Spread
1¢
500 × 51 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
8%

A YES contract costs 8¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
92%

costs 93¢

YES bid / ask
7¢ / 8¢
NO bid / ask
92¢ / 93¢
Recent buying54% YES · 46% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,80050¢
  • ask348¢
  • ask1,49947¢
  • ask90017¢
  • ask99912¢
  • ask30011¢
  • ask5009¢
  • ask518¢
spread1¢mid 7¢
  • bid5007¢
  • bid6406¢
  • bid2,7144¢
  • bid5003¢
  • bid1,0582¢
  • bid7111¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If ALL of the following occur: Michigan Governor winner: Republican party, Michigan Senate winner: Republican party, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Michigan Governor winner (GOVPARTY), Michigan Senate winner (SENATEPARTY).

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 7 · 3:49 PM UTC
closes
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMISENGOVCOMBO-26NOV-REPREP
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 98¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 54% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago8¢1,200bought no
4d ago9¢50bought no
11d ago11¢1bought yes
16d ago12¢1bought yes
16d ago11¢20bought yes
19d ago10¢100bought no
19d ago10¢2bought no
19d ago10¢18bought no
19d ago10¢20bought no
19d ago10¢9.15bought yes
19d ago11¢352bought yes
20d ago8¢90bought yes
20d ago8¢59bought yes
20d ago8¢250bought yes
20d ago8¢59bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.