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Pro Baseball Debut·closed · NO

Will Aidan Miller play in a game for any team in the MLB before Sep 1, 2026?

YES means Before Sep 1, 2026

24h volume
0
939 lifetime
Open interest
830
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
–
41 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
NO bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
Recent buying10% YES · 90% NO

This market is closed and resolved NO. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Empty book.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Aidan Miller plays for any MLB team in a regular season or playoff game before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
May 9 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 1 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 1, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMLBDEBUT-AMILLER-26SEP01
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 41 trades, 10% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
23d ago1¢18bought no
23d ago4¢2bought yes
23d ago4¢2bought yes
23d ago4¢2bought yes
23d ago4¢2bought yes
23d ago4¢2bought yes
23d ago4¢2bought yes
23d ago4¢2bought yes
23d ago4¢2bought yes
23d ago4¢2bought yes
23d ago4¢2bought yes
23d ago4¢2bought yes
23d ago4¢2bought yes
23d ago4¢2bought yes
23d ago4¢2bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.