Pro Baseball Debut·closes in 38mo

Will Grady Emerson play in a game for any team in the MLB before Nov 1, 2029?

YES means Before Nov 1, 2029

24h volume
0
405 lifetime
Open interest
57
+0 over 24h
Spread
65¢
5 × 46 at the touch
24h range
12 recent trades
Chance of YES
34%

A YES contract costs 71¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
66%

costs 94¢

YES bid / ask
/ 71¢
NO bid / ask
29¢ / 94¢
Recent buying20% YES · 80% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢volSep 20, 8:01 AMSep 20, 9:20 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Grady Emerson plays for any MLB team in a regular season or playoff game before Nov 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 11 · 2:00 AM UTC
closes
Nov 1, 2029 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 1, 2032 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMLBDEBUT-GEMERSON-29NOV01
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 12 trades, 20% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2mo ago34¢25bought no
2mo ago34¢5bought no
2mo ago34¢5bought no
2mo ago34¢7bought no
2mo ago34¢25bought no
2mo ago34¢2.05bought no
2mo ago34¢20bought no
2mo ago34¢26bought no
2mo ago34¢25bought no
2mo ago34¢31bought no
2mo ago35¢40bought yes
2mo ago35¢2bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.