Pro Baseball Debut·closes in 14mo

Will Jesús Made play in a game for any team in the MLB before Nov 1, 2027?

YES means Before Nov 1, 2027

24h volume: 0; 580 lifetime
Open interest: 136
Spread: 89¢; 5 × 100 at the touch
24h range: –; 4 recent trades

Chance of YES

72%

A YES contract costs 95¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

28%

costs 94¢

YES bid / ask

6¢ / 95¢

NO bid / ask

5¢ / 94¢

Recent buying50% YES · 50% NO

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask5099¢
ask10095¢

spread89¢mid 51¢

bid56¢
bid1005¢
bid501¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Jesús Made plays for any MLB team in a regular season or playoff game before Nov 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources

opened: May 9 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes: Nov 1, 2027 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by: Nov 1, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker: KXMLBDEBUT-JMADE-27NOV01

Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 4 trades, 50% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

When	YES	Contracts	Side
9d ago	72¢	155	bought yes
9d ago	71¢	155	bought no
2mo ago	79¢	1	bought yes
2mo ago	55¢	0.01	bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.