Pro Baseball Debut·closes in 23mo

Will Jesús Made play in a game for any team in the MLB before Aug 1, 2028?

YES means Before Aug 1, 2028

24h volume
0
257 lifetime
Open interest
136
+0 over 30d
Spread
88¢
99 × 1 at the touch
24h range
4 recent trades
Chance of YES
88%

A YES contract costs 94¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
12%

costs 94¢

YES bid / ask
/ 94¢
NO bid / ask
/ 94¢
Recent buying11% YES · 89% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volAug 22Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask10095¢
  • ask194¢
spread88¢mid 50¢
  • bid99
  • bid100
  • bid50
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Jesús Made plays for any MLB team in a regular season or playoff game before Aug 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
May 9 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Aug 1, 2028 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 1, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMLBDEBUT-JMADE-28AUG01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 4 trades, 11% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2mo ago88¢4bought yes
2mo ago80¢4bought no
2mo ago66¢5bought no
2mo ago65¢22bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.