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Pro Baseball Debut·closes in 6mo

Will Leo De Vries play in a game for any team in the MLB before May 1, 2027?

YES means Before May 1, 2027

24h volume
200
14.6k lifetime
Open interest
8,403
−200 over 24h
Spread
15¢
5 × 14 at the touch
24h range
20¢ – 20¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
20%+2

A YES contract costs 35¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
80%

costs 80¢

YES bid / ask
20¢ / 35¢
NO bid / ask
65¢ / 80¢
24h low 20¢24h high 20¢
Recent buying60% YES · 40% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
10¢20¢30¢40¢50¢volNov 4, 2:52 AMNov 5, 2:49 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask192¢
  • ask51577¢
  • ask1060¢
  • ask9051¢
  • ask15050¢
  • ask146¢
  • ask47236¢
  • ask1435¢
spread15¢mid 28¢
  • bid520¢
  • bid5312¢
  • bid147¢
  • bid2856¢
  • bid2805¢
  • bid1324¢
  • bid7503¢
  • bid12¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Leo De Vries plays for any MLB team in a regular season or playoff game before May 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
May 9 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
May 1, 2027 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 1, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMLBDEBUT-LDEVRIES-27MAY01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 60% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
16h ago20¢200bought yes
8d ago17¢50bought yes
8d ago18¢89bought yes
9d ago17¢368bought yes
9d ago16¢15bought yes
9d ago15¢10bought yes
9d ago14¢5bought yes
9d ago17¢147bought yes
14d ago15¢5bought no
26d ago20¢200bought yes
26d ago19¢12bought yes
28d ago15¢2.97bought yes
28d ago16¢6.8bought yes
28d ago17¢100bought yes
28d ago16¢29bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.