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Pro Baseball Debut·closes in 7mo

Will Leo De Vries play in a game for any team in the MLB before May 1, 2027?

YES means Before May 1, 2027

24h volume
0
12.9k lifetime
Open interest
8,873
Spread
25¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
12%

A YES contract costs 38¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
88%

costs 87¢

YES bid / ask
13¢ / 38¢
NO bid / ask
62¢ / 87¢
Recent buying35% YES · 65% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,81492¢
  • ask4791¢
  • ask9056¢
  • ask15050¢
  • ask32241¢
  • ask2940¢
  • ask1.6639¢
  • ask538¢
spread25¢mid 26¢
  • bid513¢
  • bid579¢
  • bid508¢
  • bid2007¢
  • bid1005¢
  • bid5192¢
  • bid1011¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Leo De Vries plays for any MLB team in a regular season or playoff game before May 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
May 9 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
May 1, 2027 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 1, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMLBDEBUT-LDEVRIES-27MAY01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 35% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4d ago12¢199bought no
4d ago12¢4.44bought no
4d ago12¢2.54bought no
4d ago12¢7.7bought no
6d ago13¢200bought no
6d ago14¢15bought no
6d ago14¢200bought no
6d ago15¢63bought yes
7d ago13¢199bought yes
7d ago13¢0.95bought yes
7d ago10¢410bought no
7d ago11¢29bought no
9d ago10¢6.1bought yes
9d ago11¢197bought yes
9d ago10¢17bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.