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Pro Baseball Debut·closes in 10d

Will Thomas White play in a game for any team in the MLB before Oct 1, 2026?

YES means Before Oct 1, 2026

24h volume
0
3,758 lifetime
Open interest
1,435
Spread
7¢
0 × 11 at the touch
24h range
–
47 recent trades
Chance of YES
2%

A YES contract costs 7¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
98%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 7¢
NO bid / ask
93¢ / 100¢
Recent buying50% YES · 50% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask3,29098¢
  • ask2,34097¢
  • ask5,00095¢
  • ask5594¢
  • ask10455¢
  • ask124¢
  • ask2008¢
  • ask117¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Thomas White plays for any MLB team in a regular season or playoff game before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    May 9 · 2:00 PM UTC
    closes
    Oct 1 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Nov 1, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC
    ticker
    KXMLBDEBUT-TWHITE-26OCT01
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Recent trades

    Over the last 47 trades, 50% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    23d ago2¢2bought no
    23d ago6¢2bought yes
    2mo ago3¢5.58bought no
    2mo ago8¢1bought yes
    2mo ago8¢250bought no
    2mo ago9¢5bought no
    2mo ago7¢14bought no
    2mo ago16¢0.58bought no
    2mo ago21¢13bought yes
    2mo ago22¢7.61bought yes
    2mo ago20¢16bought no
    2mo ago20¢4bought yes
    2mo ago17¢10bought yes
    2mo ago16¢10bought yes
    2mo ago25¢3bought yes

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.