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Pro Baseball Debut·closes in 50mo

Will Vahn Lackey play in a game for any team in the MLB before Nov 1, 2030?

YES means Before Nov 1, 2030

24h volume
0
433 lifetime
Open interest
38
+38 over 90d
Spread
5¢
5 × 20 at the touch
24h range
74¢ – 93¢
10 recent trades
Chance of YES
88%

A YES contract costs 94¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
12%

costs 11¢

YES bid / ask
89¢ / 94¢
NO bid / ask
6¢ / 11¢
24h low 74¢24h high 93¢
Recent buying94% YES · 6% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
85¢90¢95¢100¢volJul 12Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask20197¢
  • ask1,00196¢
  • ask10195¢
  • ask2094¢
spread5¢mid 92¢
  • bid589¢
  • bid20088¢
  • bid9073¢
  • bid45326¢
  • bid7.0221¢
  • bid320¢
  • bid1005¢
  • bid1,0004¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Vahn Lackey plays for any MLB team in a regular season or playoff game before Nov 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 11 · 2:00 AM UTC
closes
Nov 1, 2030 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 1, 2031 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMLBDEBUT-VLACKEY-30NOV01
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 10 trades, 94% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
28d ago91¢2bought no
28d ago88¢10bought no
2mo ago92¢25bought yes
2mo ago92¢5bought yes
2mo ago92¢5bought yes
2mo ago92¢25bought yes
2mo ago92¢89bought yes
2mo ago92¢31bought yes
2mo ago92¢5.02bought yes
2mo ago92¢2bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.