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Pro Baseball Debut·closes in 62mo

Will Vahn Lackey play in a game for any team in the MLB before Nov 1, 2031?

YES means Before Nov 1, 2031

24h volume
0
539 lifetime
Open interest
76
+0 over 7d
Spread
4¢
200 × 96 at the touch
24h range
–
19 recent trades
Chance of YES
91%

A YES contract costs 95¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
9%

costs 9¢

YES bid / ask
91¢ / 95¢
NO bid / ask
5¢ / 9¢
Recent buying3% YES · 97% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 16Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,00196¢
  • ask9695¢
spread4¢mid 93¢
  • bid20091¢
  • bid54225¢
  • bid5921¢
  • bid320¢
  • bid1005¢
  • bid1,0004¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Vahn Lackey plays for any MLB team in a regular season or playoff game before Nov 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 11 · 2:00 AM UTC
closes
Nov 1, 2031 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 1, 2031 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMLBDEBUT-VLACKEY-31NOV01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 19 trades, 3% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
28d ago91¢62bought no
2mo ago93¢10bought no
2mo ago93¢5bought no
2mo ago93¢5bought no
2mo ago93¢25bought no
2mo ago93¢5bought no
2mo ago93¢8bought no
2mo ago93¢14bought no
2mo ago93¢25bought no
2mo ago93¢88bought no
2mo ago93¢5bought no
2mo ago93¢2bought no
2mo ago94¢1bought yes
2mo ago94¢2bought yes
2mo ago94¢1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.