Professional Baseball Game·closes in 4d

Baltimore wins

YES means Baltimore

24h volume
3,173
3,419 lifetime
Open interest
2,999
+2,643 over 7d
Spread
12.6k × 173.9k at the touch
24h range
44¢ – 56¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
50%5

A YES contract costs 51¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
50%

costs 50¢

YES bid / ask
50¢ / 51¢
NO bid / ask
49¢ / 50¢
24h low 44¢24h high 56¢
Recent buying88% YES · 12% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

40¢45¢50¢55¢60¢volSep 19, 3:00 AMSep 20, 11:00 PM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask13858¢
  • ask24857¢
  • ask74256¢
  • ask22.9k55¢
  • ask13.6k54¢
  • ask19.3k53¢
  • ask209.4k52¢
  • ask173.9k51¢
spreadmid 51¢
  • bid12.6k50¢
  • bid74.5k49¢
  • bid46.1k48¢
  • bid9,31347¢
  • bid1,31946¢
  • bid1,20045¢
  • bid11444¢
  • bid18.3k43¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Baltimore wins the Toronto vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 21, 2026 at 6:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

The following market refers to the Toronto vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 21, 2026 at 6:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

opened
Sep 18 · 10:55 PM UTC
closes
Sep 24 · 10:35 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 22 · 1:35 AM UTC
ticker
KXMLBGAME-26SEP211835TORBAL-BAL
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 100¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 88% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
15s ago50¢222bought no
2m ago51¢1bought yes
2m ago51¢1.92bought yes
6m ago51¢1.92bought yes
7m ago51¢0.48bought yes
10m ago51¢0.01bought yes
10m ago51¢38bought yes
10m ago51¢1.92bought yes
10m ago51¢48bought yes
12m ago51¢96bought yes
14m ago51¢9.63bought yes
14m ago51¢96bought yes
16m ago51¢1.92bought yes
20m ago51¢18bought yes
22m ago51¢6bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.