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Professional Baseball Game·closes in 4d

Baltimore wins

YES means Baltimore

24h volume
7,846
7,885 lifetime
Open interest
6,252
+9.48 over 90d
Spread
1¢
4,579 × 205.0k at the touch
24h range
44¢ – 54¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
51%−2

A YES contract costs 51¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
49%

costs 50¢

YES bid / ask
50¢ / 51¢
NO bid / ask
49¢ / 50¢
24h low 44¢24h high 54¢
Recent buying87% YES · 13% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
45¢50¢55¢60¢volSep 19, 4:00 AMSep 20, 4:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask13858¢
  • ask27857¢
  • ask74256¢
  • ask22.9k55¢
  • ask13.6k54¢
  • ask21.3k53¢
  • ask236.7k52¢
  • ask205.0k51¢
spread1¢mid 51¢
  • bid4,57950¢
  • bid90.1k49¢
  • bid47.2k48¢
  • bid10.6k47¢
  • bid13846¢
  • bid1,23045¢
  • bid22444¢
  • bid18.3k43¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Baltimore wins the Toronto vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 21, 2026 at 6:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

The following market refers to the Toronto vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 21, 2026 at 6:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 18 · 10:55 PM UTC
closes
Sep 24 · 10:35 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 22 · 1:35 AM UTC
ticker
KXMLBGAME-26SEP211835TORBAL-BAL
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 101¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 87% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
45s ago51¢18bought yes
8m ago51¢13bought yes
13m ago51¢1.92bought yes
15m ago51¢0.48bought yes
16m ago51¢3.85bought yes
16m ago50¢48bought no
17m ago51¢48bought yes
19m ago51¢1.92bought yes
21m ago51¢193bought yes
21m ago51¢193bought yes
25m ago51¢9.41bought yes
32m ago51¢0.17bought yes
33m ago51¢3.85bought yes
36m ago51¢15bought yes
36m ago51¢19bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.