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Professional Baseball Game·closes in 4d

San Francisco wins

YES means San Francisco

24h volume
2,638
2,780 lifetime
Open interest
1,804
Spread
1¢
653 × 111.8k at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
49%−1

A YES contract costs 49¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
51%

costs 52¢

YES bid / ask
48¢ / 49¢
NO bid / ask
51¢ / 52¢
Recent buying49% YES · 51% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask28556¢
  • ask14.7k55¢
  • ask1,21754¢
  • ask5,11153¢
  • ask11.7k52¢
  • ask13.8k51¢
  • ask161.2k50¢
  • ask111.8k49¢
spread1¢mid 49¢
  • bid65348¢
  • bid74.1k47¢
  • bid41.8k46¢
  • bid13.4k45¢
  • bid7,91744¢
  • bid15.3k43¢
  • bid23642¢
  • bid79041¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If San Francisco wins the Minnesota vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 21, 2026 at 9:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

The following market refers to the Minnesota vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 21, 2026 at 9:45 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 19 · 1:55 AM UTC
closes
Sep 25 · 1:45 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 22 · 4:45 AM UTC
ticker
KXMLBGAME-26SEP212145MINSF-SF
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 49% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
6m ago49¢7.01bought yes
10m ago49¢20bought yes
13m ago49¢2bought yes
19m ago49¢50bought yes
21m ago49¢80bought yes
23m ago49¢6bought yes
23m ago49¢100bought yes
24m ago49¢10bought yes
42m ago49¢8.02bought yes
45m ago49¢10bought yes
52m ago49¢0.2bought yes
54m ago48¢20bought no
59m ago49¢10bought yes
1h ago49¢0.01bought yes
1h ago49¢1.94bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.