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Professional Baseball Game·closes in 5d

Tampa Bay wins

YES means Tampa Bay

24h volume
1,278
1,279 lifetime
Open interest
1,249
+0 over 90d
Spread
5¢
3 × 76 at the touch
24h range
40¢ – 51¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
46%+1

A YES contract costs 46¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
54%

costs 59¢

YES bid / ask
41¢ / 46¢
NO bid / ask
54¢ / 59¢
24h low 40¢24h high 51¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask10061¢
  • ask7258¢
  • ask452¢
  • ask451¢
  • ask850¢
  • ask0.8249¢
  • ask10948¢
  • ask7646¢
spread5¢mid 43¢
  • bid341¢
  • bid1540¢
  • bid1839¢
  • bid12538¢
  • bid436¢
  • bid435¢
  • bid434¢
  • bid433¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Tampa Bay wins the Tampa Bay vs New York Y professional baseball game 1 of the double header originally scheduled for Sep 22, 2026 at 1:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

The following market refers to the Tampa Bay vs New York Y professional baseball game 1 of the double header originally scheduled for Sep 22, 2026 at 1:05 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 19 · 5:25 PM UTC
closes
Sep 25 · 5:05 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 22 · 8:05 PM UTC
ticker
KXMLBGAME-26SEP221305TBNYYG1-TB
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 106¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
13m ago46¢2.13bought yes
16m ago45¢5.45bought yes
33m ago46¢11bought yes
39m ago46¢42bought yes
39m ago45¢6bought yes
39m ago46¢15bought yes
1h ago46¢26bought yes
1h ago46¢11bought yes
1h ago44¢10bought yes
1h ago45¢12bought yes
1h ago44¢6bought yes
1h ago45¢27bought yes
1h ago45¢0.28bought yes
1h ago45¢1.9bought yes
2h ago45¢2.1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.