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Professional Baseball Game·closes in 5d

Houston wins

YES means Houston

24h volume
3,425
3,565 lifetime
Open interest
3,431
+3,292 over 30d
Spread
2¢
1,013 × 528 at the touch
24h range
42¢ – 47¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
45%−2

A YES contract costs 45¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
55%

costs 57¢

YES bid / ask
43¢ / 45¢
NO bid / ask
55¢ / 57¢
24h low 42¢24h high 47¢
Recent buying98% YES · 2% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
30¢35¢40¢45¢50¢volSep 20, 2:00 AMSep 21, 6:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask653¢
  • ask652¢
  • ask5651¢
  • ask66149¢
  • ask1,90948¢
  • ask1,52647¢
  • ask2,08146¢
  • ask52845¢
spread2¢mid 44¢
  • bid1,01343¢
  • bid1,13342¢
  • bid50541¢
  • bid52340¢
  • bid638¢
  • bid13137¢
  • bid636¢
  • bid635¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Houston wins the Houston vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 22, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

The following market refers to the Houston vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 22, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 20 · 1:55 AM UTC
closes
Sep 26 · 1:40 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 23 · 4:40 AM UTC
ticker
KXMLBGAME-26SEP222140HOUSEA-HOU
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 103¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 98% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
43m ago45¢22bought yes
1h ago45¢4.36bought yes
1h ago44¢1bought yes
1h ago45¢9bought yes
2h ago45¢2bought yes
2h ago45¢22bought yes
2h ago45¢55bought yes
3h ago45¢11bought yes
3h ago43¢63bought no
4h ago46¢4.26bought yes
4h ago46¢0.02bought yes
4h ago46¢625bought yes
4h ago46¢0.02bought yes
4h ago45¢305bought yes
4h ago45¢12bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.