Pro Baseball Spread·closed · NO

Texas wins by over 2.5 runs?

YES means Texas wins by over 2.5 runs

24h volume
1,718
1,718 lifetime
Open interest
1,680
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 31¢
26 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
/ 100¢
NO bid / ask
/ 100¢
24h low 24h high 31¢
Recent buying66% YES · 34% NO

This market is closed and resolved NO. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Empty book.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Texas wins by more than 2.5 runs in the Toronto vs Texas professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026 at 2:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 20 · 7:40 AM UTC
closes
Sep 20 · 9:39 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 20 · 9:35 PM UTC
floor
2.5
ticker
KXMLBSPREAD-26SEP201435TORTEX-TEX3
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 26 trades, 66% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5h ago80bought yes
5h ago70bought yes
5h ago100bought yes
6h ago160bought no
6h ago300bought no
6h ago1bought no
6h ago30bought no
6h ago30bought no
6h ago10¢47bought yes
7h ago18¢6bought no
7h ago12¢30bought no
7h ago14¢34bought yes
8h ago24¢1bought yes
8h ago29¢29bought no
8h ago31¢1bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.