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Pro Baseball Spread·closed · NO

Miami wins by over 2.5 runs?

YES means Miami wins by over 2.5 runs

24h volume
3,615
3,615 lifetime
Open interest
2,902
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
–
30 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
NO bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
Recent buying67% YES · 33% NO

This market is closed and resolved NO. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Empty book.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Miami wins by more than 2.5 runs in the Miami vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 19 · 10:20 PM UTC
closes
Sep 20 · 10:30 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 20 · 11:10 PM UTC
floor
2.5
ticker
KXMLBSPREAD-26SEP201610MIASD-MIA3
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 30 trades, 67% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3h ago1¢37bought no
3h ago1¢13bought no
4h ago3¢2.05bought no
4h ago6¢1,514bought yes
4h ago6¢50bought yes
4h ago4¢250bought yes
4h ago3¢28bought no
4h ago2¢50bought yes
4h ago1¢33bought no
4h ago1¢93bought no
4h ago1¢12bought no
4h ago1¢195bought no
4h ago2¢32bought no
4h ago2¢219bought no
4h ago2¢100bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.