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Pro Baseball Spread·closes in 4d

Baltimore wins by over 1.5 runs?

YES means Baltimore wins by over 1.5 runs

24h volume
882
882 lifetime
Open interest
882
+882 over 24h
Spread
1¢
7,451 × 2,147 at the touch
24h range
31¢ – 33¢
12 recent trades
Chance of YES
31%

A YES contract costs 32¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
69%

costs 69¢

YES bid / ask
31¢ / 32¢
NO bid / ask
68¢ / 69¢
24h low 31¢24h high 33¢
Recent buying39% YES · 61% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
25¢30¢35¢40¢volSep 20, 11:59 PMSep 21, 5:57 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask40939¢
  • ask78238¢
  • ask41537¢
  • ask27736¢
  • ask49.7k35¢
  • ask15.5k34¢
  • ask1,47533¢
  • ask2,14732¢
spread1¢mid 31¢
  • bid7,45131¢
  • bid45.2k30¢
  • bid20.0k29¢
  • bid2,24528¢
  • bid33827¢
  • bid18.8k26¢
  • bid81125¢
  • bid26824¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Baltimore wins by more than 1.5 runs in the Toronto vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 21, 2026 at 6:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 20 · 10:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 24 · 10:35 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 22 · 1:35 AM UTC
floor
1.5
ticker
KXMLBSPREAD-26SEP211835TORBAL-BAL2
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 12 trades, 39% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
11m ago31¢141bought no
11m ago31¢22bought no
11m ago31¢37bought no
46m ago31¢46bought no
1h ago33¢44bought yes
2h ago32¢15bought yes
3h ago32¢254bought no
4h ago33¢8bought yes
4h ago32¢35bought no
4h ago33¢2.96bought yes
6h ago33¢200bought yes
6h ago33¢77bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.