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Pro Baseball Spread·closes in 4d

Toronto wins by over 1.5 runs?

YES means Toronto wins by over 1.5 runs

24h volume
2,421
2,522 lifetime
Open interest
2,413
Spread
2¢
10.0k × 19.9k at the touch
24h range
–
21 recent trades
Chance of YES
38%

A YES contract costs 38¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
62%

costs 64¢

YES bid / ask
36¢ / 38¢
NO bid / ask
62¢ / 64¢
Recent buying95% YES · 5% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Toronto wins by more than 1.5 runs in the Toronto vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 21, 2026 at 6:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 20 · 10:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 24 · 10:35 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 22 · 1:35 AM UTC
floor
1.5
ticker
KXMLBSPREAD-26SEP211835TORBAL-TOR2
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 21 trades, 95% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3m ago38¢101bought yes
19m ago37¢483bought yes
19m ago37¢1,501bought yes
19m ago37¢132bought yes
27m ago36¢25bought no
33m ago37¢13bought yes
1h ago37¢25bought yes
1h ago36¢77bought no
1h ago37¢2.53bought yes
2h ago37¢5.27bought yes
2h ago37¢40bought yes
2h ago37¢12bought yes
3h ago37¢3.08bought yes
4h ago37¢2.64bought yes
4h ago36¢3.08bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.