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Pro Baseball Spread·closes in 4d

Toronto wins by over 2.5 runs?

YES means Toronto wins by over 2.5 runs

24h volume
432
432 lifetime
Open interest
425
+425 over 24h
Spread
1¢
6,324 × 7,133 at the touch
24h range
26¢ – 29¢
8 recent trades
Chance of YES
26%

A YES contract costs 27¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
74%

costs 74¢

YES bid / ask
26¢ / 27¢
NO bid / ask
73¢ / 74¢
24h low 26¢24h high 29¢
Recent buying63% YES · 37% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
20¢25¢30¢35¢volSep 20, 10:37 PMSep 21, 5:55 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask13.7k34¢
  • ask82133¢
  • ask3,93232¢
  • ask7,06431¢
  • ask21.0k30¢
  • ask38.9k29¢
  • ask2,18428¢
  • ask7,13327¢
spread1¢mid 27¢
  • bid6,32426¢
  • bid12.4k25¢
  • bid42.3k24¢
  • bid6,22023¢
  • bid15922¢
  • bid11.7k21¢
  • bid57720¢
  • bid1,13415¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Toronto wins by more than 2.5 runs in the Toronto vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 21, 2026 at 6:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 20 · 10:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 24 · 10:35 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 22 · 1:35 AM UTC
floor
2.5
ticker
KXMLBSPREAD-26SEP211835TORBAL-TOR3
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 8 trades, 63% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1h ago26¢46bought no
1h ago27¢25bought no
1h ago26¢89bought no
2h ago28¢6.96bought yes
2h ago28¢174bought yes
4h ago28¢0.01bought yes
4h ago28¢6.95bought yes
7h ago29¢84bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.