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KXMLBWINS·closed · YES

Will Miami win at least 80 games this season?

YES means 80+ wins

Sliding late. Up the road, Tampa Bay's 95-win contract is at 98¢ and the Rays are a live World Series contender behind the Dodgers (31¢) and Brewers (17¢).
Our read · Sep 20, 2026 · 3 PM ET
24h volume
0
32.9k lifetime
Open interest
9,487
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
99%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
1%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
NO bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
Recent buying99% YES · 1% NO

This market is closed and resolved YES. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Empty book.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Miami has 80+ wins in the 2026 pro baseball team regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Ties do not count as wins. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Dec 17, 2025 · 1:56 AM UTC
closes
Sep 27 · 10:59 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 8 · 4:00 AM UTC
floor
80
ticker
KXMLBWINS-MIA-26-T80
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 99% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1mo ago99¢9bought yes
1mo ago99¢116bought yes
1mo ago99¢1bought yes
1mo ago99¢21bought yes
1mo ago99¢1bought yes
1mo ago99¢116bought yes
1mo ago99¢13bought yes
1mo ago99¢8.47bought yes
1mo ago99¢8.62bought yes
1mo ago43¢5.67bought no
1mo ago98¢12bought yes
1mo ago98¢0.16bought yes
1mo ago95¢0.38bought yes
1mo ago80¢61bought yes
1mo ago80¢3.64bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.