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Fighters to comepete in MVP event·closes in 16mo

Amanda Serrano to compete in the MVP (Most Valuable Promotions) MMA before 2028?

YES means Amanda Serrano

24h volume
0
1,084 lifetime
Open interest
1,041
+909 over 90d
Spread
62¢
0 × 0.62 at the touch
24h range
54¢ – 85¢
27 recent trades
Chance of YES
55%

A YES contract costs 62¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
45%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 62¢
NO bid / ask
38¢ / 100¢
24h low 54¢24h high 85¢
Recent buying3% YES · 97% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢volJul 31Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask20099¢
  • ask16398¢
  • ask4597¢
  • ask1,51293¢
  • ask1090¢
  • ask98985¢
  • ask0.6262¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Amanda Serrano competes in the MVP (Most Valuable Promotions) MMA before 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Jul 30 · 6:30 PM UTC
    closes
    Jan 8, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
    ticker
    KXMMACOMPETE-28JAN-ASER
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Recent trades

    Over the last 27 trades, 3% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    10d ago55¢0.62bought no
    20d ago54¢100bought no
    20d ago56¢100bought no
    20d ago58¢100bought no
    20d ago60¢100bought no
    20d ago62¢100bought no
    20d ago64¢100bought no
    20d ago66¢100bought no
    20d ago70¢100bought no
    25d ago70¢5bought no
    25d ago71¢5bought no
    25d ago70¢2.55bought no
    26d ago79¢0.62bought yes
    26d ago77¢2.45bought yes
    26d ago78¢7.67bought yes

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.