Fighters to comepete in MVP event·closes in 16mo

Conor McGregor to compete in the MVP (Most Valuable Promotions) MMA before 2028?

YES means Conor McGregor

24h volume
0
417 lifetime
Open interest
217
Spread
17¢
0 × 6.72 at the touch
24h range
12 recent trades
Chance of YES
9%

A YES contract costs 17¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
91%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
/ 17¢
NO bid / ask
83¢ / 100¢
Recent buying28% YES · 72% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask20099¢
  • ask15098¢
  • ask9696¢
  • ask4095¢
  • ask6.7217¢
spreadmid
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Conor McGregor competes in the MVP (Most Valuable Promotions) MMA before 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Jul 30 · 6:30 PM UTC
    closes
    Jan 8, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
    ticker
    KXMMACOMPETE-28JAN-CMCG
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Recent trades

    Over the last 12 trades, 28% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    10d ago0.5bought no
    10d ago10¢5bought no
    1mo ago29¢3.28bought yes
    2mo ago20¢200bought no
    2mo ago21¢5bought no
    2mo ago28¢5bought yes
    2mo ago29¢28bought yes
    2mo ago19¢1.14bought no
    2mo ago20¢5bought no
    2mo ago21¢82bought no
    2mo ago29¢60bought yes
    2mo ago29¢22bought yes

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.