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Fighters to comepete in MVP event·closes in 16mo

Gervonta Davis to compete in the MVP (Most Valuable Promotions) MMA before 2028?

YES means Gervonta Davis

24h volume
0
720 lifetime
Open interest
610
+610 over 90d
Spread
14¢
0 × 6.05 at the touch
24h range
–
20 recent trades
Chance of YES
11%

A YES contract costs 14¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
89%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 14¢
NO bid / ask
86¢ / 100¢
Recent buying8% YES · 92% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢10¢20¢30¢40¢volAug 3Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask20099¢
  • ask15098¢
  • ask5096¢
  • ask6995¢
  • ask6.0514¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Gervonta Davis competes in the MVP (Most Valuable Promotions) MMA before 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Jul 30 · 6:30 PM UTC
    closes
    Jan 8, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
    ticker
    KXMMACOMPETE-28JAN-GDAV
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Recent trades

    Over the last 20 trades, 8% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    12d ago11¢100bought no
    13d ago13¢100bought no
    16d ago17¢5bought no
    16d ago16¢100bought no
    20d ago19¢100bought no
    20d ago23¢100bought no
    21d ago24¢3.95bought yes
    24d ago23¢98bought no
    1mo ago24¢2.52bought no
    1mo ago19¢5bought no
    1mo ago19¢20bought no
    1mo ago38¢20bought yes
    1mo ago37¢5bought yes
    1mo ago38¢2.52bought yes
    1mo ago20¢5bought no

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.