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Fighters to comepete in MVP event·closes in 16mo

Jake Paul to compete in the MVP (Most Valuable Promotions) MMA before 2028?

YES means Jake Paul

24h volume
0
475 lifetime
Open interest
434
Spread
85¢
0 × 999 at the touch
24h range
–
10 recent trades
Chance of YES
53%

A YES contract costs 85¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
47%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 85¢
NO bid / ask
15¢ / 100¢
Recent buying4% YES · 96% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask20099¢
  • ask1,22298¢
  • ask5097¢
  • ask99985¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Jake Paul competes in the MVP (Most Valuable Promotions) MMA before 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Jul 30 · 6:30 PM UTC
    closes
    Jan 8, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
    ticker
    KXMMACOMPETE-28JAN-JPAU
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Recent trades

    Over the last 10 trades, 4% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    15d ago53¢16bought no
    15d ago59¢16bought yes
    21d ago85¢1.16bought yes
    25d ago76¢8bought no
    25d ago77¢5bought no
    26d ago77¢3bought no
    1mo ago70¢159bought no
    2mo ago80¢66bought no
    2mo ago85¢100bought no
    2mo ago85¢100bought no

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.