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Minnesota Senate-Governor Combo·closes in 14mo

Will Minnesota Governor winner be Democratic party and Minnesota Senate winner be Republican party?

YES means Democratic Governor, Republican Senator

24h volume
0
11.7k lifetime
Open interest
4,687
+0 over 7d
Spread
5¢
500 × 78 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
8%

A YES contract costs 8¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
92%

costs 97¢

YES bid / ask
3¢ / 8¢
NO bid / ask
92¢ / 97¢
Recent buying27% YES · 73% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volSep 14Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask4095¢
  • ask5,14791¢
  • ask55090¢
  • ask15014¢
  • ask50010¢
  • ask788¢
spread5¢mid 5¢
  • bid5003¢
  • bid1002¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If ALL of the following occur: Minnesota Governor winner: Democratic party, Minnesota Senate winner: Republican party, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Minnesota Governor winner (GOVPARTY), Minnesota Senate winner (SENATEPARTY).

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 7 · 3:52 PM UTC
closes
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMNSENGOVCOMBO-26NOV-DEMREP
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 107¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 27% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago8¢10bought yes
3d ago7¢15bought yes
11d ago8¢12bought yes
25d ago8¢35bought yes
27d ago5¢100bought no
29d ago10¢0.56bought yes
29d ago10¢14bought yes
29d ago10¢9bought yes
30d ago10¢10bought yes
1mo ago8¢500bought yes
1mo ago7¢121bought yes
1mo ago7¢35bought yes
1mo ago6¢315bought no
1mo ago7¢100bought no
1mo ago4¢85bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.