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Minnesota Senate-Governor Combo·closes in 14mo

Will Minnesota Governor winner be Republican party and Minnesota Senate winner be Democratic party?

YES means Republican Governor, Democratic Senator

24h volume
111
5,048 lifetime
Open interest
3,322
Spread
2¢
500 × 1,000 at the touch
24h range
–
36 recent trades
Chance of YES
4%+1

A YES contract costs 6¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
96%

costs 96¢

YES bid / ask
4¢ / 6¢
NO bid / ask
94¢ / 96¢
Recent buying2% YES · 98% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask5,00092¢
  • ask24891¢
  • ask17390¢
  • ask455¢
  • ask5007¢
  • ask1,0006¢
spread2¢mid 5¢
  • bid5004¢
  • bid1583¢
  • bid3502¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If ALL of the following occur: Minnesota Governor winner: Republican party, Minnesota Senate winner: Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Minnesota Governor winner (GOVPARTY), Minnesota Senate winner (SENATEPARTY).

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 7 · 3:52 PM UTC
closes
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMNSENGOVCOMBO-26NOV-REPDEM
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 107¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 36 trades, 2% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
18h ago4¢111bought no
1mo ago3¢92bought no
1mo ago3¢250bought no
1mo ago3¢250bought no
1mo ago4¢500bought no
1mo ago7¢10bought yes
1mo ago3¢250bought no
1mo ago8¢40bought yes
1mo ago5¢0.7bought no
1mo ago5¢19bought no
1mo ago4¢165bought no
1mo ago11¢41bought no
1mo ago12¢500bought no
1mo ago12¢22bought no
1mo ago12¢10bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.