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Minnesota Senate-Governor Combo·closes in 14mo

Will Minnesota Governor winner be Republican party and Minnesota Senate winner be Republican party?

YES means Republicans sweep

24h volume
0
4,319 lifetime
Open interest
2,618
+126 over 30d
Spread
2¢
250 × 500 at the touch
24h range
–
21 recent trades
Chance of YES
4%

A YES contract costs 4¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
96%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
2¢ / 4¢
NO bid / ask
96¢ / 98¢
Recent buying57% YES · 43% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢15¢20¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask14598¢
  • ask10096¢
  • ask452¢
  • ask85551¢
  • ask1221¢
  • ask1420¢
  • ask115¢
  • ask5004¢
spread2¢mid 3¢
  • bid2502¢
  • bid1,2501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If ALL of the following occur: Minnesota Governor winner: Republican party, Minnesota Senate winner: Republican party, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Minnesota Governor winner (GOVPARTY), Minnesota Senate winner (SENATEPARTY).

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 7 · 3:52 PM UTC
closes
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMNSENGOVCOMBO-26NOV-REPREP
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 107¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 21 trades, 57% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
13d ago4¢47bought yes
24d ago3¢50bought yes
24d ago4¢79bought yes
1mo ago4¢117bought yes
1mo ago2¢1.18bought yes
1mo ago4¢5.82bought yes
1mo ago2¢13bought yes
1mo ago1¢73bought yes
1mo ago2¢9.82bought yes
1mo ago1¢27bought no
1mo ago1¢23bought no
2mo ago3¢3.12bought yes
2mo ago4¢250bought no
2mo ago2¢500bought no
2mo ago6¢25bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.