Moldova presidency·closes in 38mo

Who will win the next Moldovan presidential election?

YES means Igor Grosu

24h volume: 0; 2,586 lifetime
Open interest: 429; +0 over 90d
Spread: 4¢; 200 × 25 at the touch
24h range: –

Chance of YES

12%

A YES contract costs 15¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

88%

costs 89¢

YES bid / ask

11¢ / 15¢

NO bid / ask

85¢ / 89¢

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask1,000100¢
ask13100¢
ask44492¢
ask2,88192¢
ask24691¢
ask20019¢
ask20016¢
ask2515¢

spread4¢mid 13¢

bid20011¢
bid2001¢
bid3881¢
bid1,0000¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Igor Grosu wins the next Moldovan presidential election before 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources

opened: May 24, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes: Oct 31, 2029 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by: Oct 31, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker: KXMOLDOVAPRES-28-IGRO

Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 68¢).

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.