galdor.xyz
Admin
who will be cast in movie·closes in 28mo

Will Evan Peters be cast in the next official X-Men motion picture produced by Marvel Studios?

YES means Evan Peters

24h volume
0
1,270 lifetime
Open interest
473
+0 over 7d
Spread
20¢
5 × 4.1 at the touch
24h range
–
14 recent trades
Chance of YES
12%

A YES contract costs 33¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
88%

costs 87¢

YES bid / ask
13¢ / 33¢
NO bid / ask
67¢ / 87¢
Recent buying2% YES · 98% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
10¢20¢30¢40¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask47689¢
  • ask68878¢
  • ask38172¢
  • ask17070¢
  • ask11969¢
  • ask5464¢
  • ask7634¢
  • ask4.133¢
spread20¢mid 23¢
  • bid513¢
  • bid4512¢
  • bid13911¢
  • bid15010¢
  • bid1009¢
  • bid394¢
  • bid513¢
  • bid6732¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Evan Peters is cast in the next official X-Men motion picture produced by Marvel Studios before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 14 · 12:25 AM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMOVIECAST-XMAN29-EVA
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 14 trades, 2% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
8d ago12¢18bought no
1mo ago11¢11bought no
2mo ago15¢5bought no
2mo ago14¢200bought no
2mo ago4¢2bought no
2mo ago27¢5bought no
2mo ago26¢25bought no
2mo ago27¢2bought no
2mo ago27¢200bought no
2mo ago22¢1.26bought no
2mo ago31¢3.07bought yes
2mo ago35¢2bought yes
2mo ago34¢22bought no
2mo ago35¢3bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.