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who will be cast in movie·closed · YES

Will Kit Connor be cast in the next official X-Men motion picture produced by Marvel Studios?

YES means Kit Connor

24h volume
0
5,240 lifetime
Open interest
4,019
+4,019 over 90d
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
25¢ – 99¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
97%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
3%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
NO bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
24h low 25¢24h high 99¢
Recent buying75% YES · 25% NO

This market is closed and resolved YES. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volAug 8Aug 18

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Empty book.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Kit Connor is cast in the next official X-Men motion picture produced by Marvel Studios before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 6 · 9:30 PM UTC
closes
Aug 17 · 3:33 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMOVIECAST-XMAN29-KIT
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 75% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1mo ago97¢135bought no
1mo ago98¢19bought no
1mo ago99¢6.16bought no
1mo ago99¢6.55bought no
1mo ago98¢40bought no
1mo ago97¢131bought no
1mo ago96¢12bought no
1mo ago96¢5.58bought no
1mo ago95¢29bought no
1mo ago96¢36bought no
1mo ago96¢1.31bought yes
1mo ago98¢35bought yes
1mo ago95¢5bought yes
1mo ago99¢50bought yes
1mo ago97¢40bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.