galdor.xyz
Admin
KXMOVIECAST·closes in 28mo

Will Sophie Turner be cast in the next official X-Men motion picture produced by Marvel Studios?

YES means Sophie Turner

24h volume
0
1,907 lifetime
Open interest
103
+0 over 7d
Spread
78¢
5 × 2 at the touch
24h range
–
30 recent trades
Chance of YES
17%

A YES contract costs 94¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
83%

costs 84¢

YES bid / ask
16¢ / 94¢
NO bid / ask
6¢ / 84¢
Recent buying41% YES · 59% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,00099¢
  • ask20098¢
  • ask197¢
  • ask1295¢
  • ask294¢
spread78¢mid 55¢
  • bid516¢
  • bid2515¢
  • bid2372¢
  • bid1,0001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Sophie Turner is cast in the next official X-Men motion picture produced by Marvel Studios before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 14 · 12:25 AM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMOVIECAST-XMAN29-SOP
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 30 trades, 41% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
23d ago17¢5.95bought yes
2mo ago17¢6.12bought no
2mo ago17¢5.95bought no
2mo ago20¢25bought no
2mo ago21¢2bought no
2mo ago21¢132bought no
2mo ago24¢1bought no
2mo ago22¢7bought no
2mo ago25¢5bought no
2mo ago22¢1bought no
2mo ago22¢7bought no
2mo ago21¢11bought no
2mo ago12¢1.12bought no
2mo ago24¢200bought no
2mo ago24¢8bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.