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WHICH MOVIES WILL BE DELAYED?·closes in 9mo

Will SHREK 5 be delayed?

YES means Before Jul 1, 2027

24h volume
0
1,828 lifetime
Open interest
433
+0 over 24h
Spread
7¢
5 × 4.31 at the touch
24h range
–
36 recent trades
Chance of YES
17%

A YES contract costs 21¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
83%

costs 86¢

YES bid / ask
14¢ / 21¢
NO bid / ask
79¢ / 86¢
Recent buying46% YES · 54% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask39966¢
  • ask1,09865¢
  • ask53361¢
  • ask20060¢
  • ask14959¢
  • ask5553¢
  • ask10022¢
  • ask4.3121¢
spread7¢mid 18¢
  • bid514¢
  • bid10013¢
  • bid1995¢
  • bid1.154¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If SHREK 5's release is delayed past June 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 18 · 12:00 AM UTC
closes
Jul 1, 2027 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jul 1, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMOVIEDELAY-27JUL01
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will SHREK 5 be delayed?.

Recent trades

Over the last 36 trades, 46% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5d ago18¢96bought no
5d ago17¢4.31bought no
7d ago15¢4.31bought no
8d ago22¢4.31bought yes
11d ago21¢5bought yes
11d ago22¢29bought yes
1mo ago14¢1.15bought no
1mo ago17¢37bought no
1mo ago18¢5bought no
2mo ago22¢38bought yes
2mo ago21¢1bought yes
2mo ago14¢87bought no
2mo ago18¢5bought no
2mo ago21¢1bought yes
2mo ago23¢31bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.