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WHICH MOVIES WILL BE DELAYED?·closes in 27mo

Will Black Panther 3 be delayed?

YES means Past Dec 15, 2028

24h volume
0
88 lifetime
Open interest
16
Spread
82¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
Chance of YES
40%

A YES contract costs 87¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
60%

costs 95¢

YES bid / ask
5¢ / 87¢
NO bid / ask
13¢ / 95¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask8898¢
  • ask1097¢
  • ask587¢
spread82¢mid 46¢
  • bid55¢
  • bid304¢
  • bid501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Black Panther 3 will not be, or has not been, in wide release in the United States by December 15, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 11 · 10:09 PM UTC
closes
Dec 15, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 15, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMOVIEDELAY-28DEC15
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.