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KXMTCHA·closes in 19mo

Will Match Group Inc. report Above 13 million total payers in 2026?

YES means Above 13 million

24h volume
0
1,031 lifetime
Open interest
108
Spread
9¢
5 × 200 at the touch
24h range
–
15 recent trades
Chance of YES
50%

A YES contract costs 50¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
50%

costs 59¢

YES bid / ask
41¢ / 50¢
NO bid / ask
50¢ / 59¢
Recent buying52% YES · 48% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask20099¢
  • ask3,13298¢
  • ask9.7575¢
  • ask20050¢
spread9¢mid 45¢
  • bid541¢
  • bid20040¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Match Group Inc. reports Above 13000000.0 total payers in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

opened
Jun 23 · 3:13 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
13000000
ticker
KXMTCHA-28JANPAYERS-13000000.0
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 15 trades, 52% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
9d ago49¢5bought yes
9d ago50¢4.75bought yes
22d ago41¢5bought no
22d ago40¢14bought no
28d ago50¢2.07bought yes
28d ago51¢17bought yes
1mo ago50¢0.5bought yes
2mo ago47¢165bought yes
2mo ago46¢5bought yes
2mo ago43¢170bought no
2mo ago50¢5bought no
2mo ago49¢195bought no
2mo ago51¢200bought yes
2mo ago50¢20bought yes
2mo ago50¢1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.