Match KPI·closes in 19mo

Will Match Group Inc. report Above 13.8 million total payers in 2026?

YES means Above 13.8 million

24h volume
0
7,655 lifetime
Open interest
1,013
+1,009 over 90d
Spread
107 × 200 at the touch
24h range
5 recent trades
Chance of YES
12%

A YES contract costs 12¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
88%

costs 97¢

YES bid / ask
/ 12¢
NO bid / ask
88¢ / 97¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢10¢20¢30¢volJun 24Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask124¢
  • ask10023¢
  • ask20012¢
spreadmid
  • bid107
  • bid200
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Match Group Inc. reports Above 13800000.0 total payers in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 23 · 3:13 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
13800000
ticker
KXMTCHA-28JANPAYERS-13800000.0
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 5 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
19d ago12¢200bought yes
19d ago11¢100bought yes
2mo ago5bought yes
2mo ago58bought yes
2mo ago32bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.